A New Constitution for Chile

MRP analysis to change a dictator's constitution

What we offered: MRP analysis that supported the Apruebo campaign for changing the Chilean constitution.

  • MRP is currently the most accurate way of doing political polling
  • only method that predicted Trump and Brexit
  • gold standard in US and some countries in Europe
  • however not used much yet outside these countries (not aware of a use in Latin America)
  • it can use a normal survey to get very accurate results
  • and the results can be used breakdown the population much more finely
  • into both geographic areas (of roughly 2000 people for whole of country)
  • and demographic areas (e.g. 20-year-old women with a university education who live in the countryside

This process was the beginning to start creating the Digital Campaign Kit to support progressive campaigns in Latin America.

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